As various people bask in the economic “recovery” based on the third
quarter GDP report, there is little reason for optimism. Banks are
filled with toxic assets that are being covered up temporarily but will
not go away quietly. Derivatives, estimated at over $600 Trillion hang
over the economic world by a frayed thread. Infrastructure requires
enormous expenditures to just bring it up to standard after decades of
neglect.
And then there is the pension problem which few people talk about.
No, not the social security pension problem. All other pensions. Many
private pensions are underfunded, virtually all public pensions are.
Both are trains coming down the tracks to which taxpayers are tied.
Public pensions are the bigger problem, by far. Part of the public
pension problem comes from what is known as “gaming the system.” Unlike
the private sector, the public sector has every incentive to “kick the
can down the
road” and allow someone else to worry about the problem.
Unlike the Federal Government, State and Local governments do not have a
printing press to run.
Read and weep, or throw something through your computer screen.
The Real Pending Crisis: Public Pensions
President Obama often states that the federal budget cannot be
balanced without health insurance reform. Even if that were true, the
real crisis that exists already and will only worsen over time comes
from the horrendous obligations taken on by state and local governments
for public employee pension plans.
Keith Richman caught on to this problem while a California
Assemblyman. He has formed the non-profit California Foundation for
Fiscal Responsibility to educate elected officials and the public on the
looming budget disaster. Fortunately, he is not the only one touting
this pending mess. Ron Seeling, the Chief Actuary for CalPERS (the
California public employees’ retirement program), has stated the plan is
unsustainable. CalPERS represents state employees and 1,500 local
governmental entities.
Some would say the pension problem starts with the unionization of
public employees. In California, the major catalyst was SB400, signed by
Gray Davis in his first year in office, 1999. The bill lowered
retirement age for public safety employees to 50 years old and to
non-public safety employees to 55 years old. We are in an era when
people are living on average until around 80 years old.
The law gives the employee pension benefits of 3.0% of their final
income for each year of service. It also made the 3.0% amount
retroactive to the beginning of their employment period. That means if
you work 20 years you receive a pension benefit equal to 60% of your
final income. The problem was compounded by how they calculated the
income on which to base the pension.
Everything including the kitchen sink adds to the final income level.
Things such as auto allowance and bonuses boost the final number. If
the employee did not use vacation pay or holiday pay for the prior 10
years that adds to the base salary to determine the income.
Understanding that in most private sector jobs when you do not use your
vacation, you lose your vacation, the ability to accumulate vacation
time opens up the system for vast manipulation. Peter Nowicki, the
Moraga Orinda fire chief, retired at age 50. His final salary was a
whopping $185,000, but small compared to his annual pension benefit of
$241,000. Making that matter worse, Nowicki was hired as a consultant to
the fire department for an additional $176,000 per year — on top of his
retirement benefit.
This is not an isolated case. In Los Angeles County there are over
3,000 people receiving greater than $100,000 per year in pension
benefits. In San Francisco, it was found that 25% of employees’ income
spiked up over 10% in the final year of their work. The San Francisco
grand jury found that amount cost the city $132 million.
Some would argue why not game the system? Let’s say you start working
for the government when you are 30 years old and work for 25 years.
Your final income with all the fancy calculations ends up at $120,000.
That means you would receive $90,000 plus full health care benefits. You
can either live on that very nice retirement or you are free to get
another position. After all, being 55 years old, you are still in your
prime earnings years. Where in the private sector are there comparative
opportunities?
These kinds of retirement ages and benefits are why the estimated
unfunded liability is soaring. California has estimated unfunded pension
and health care liabilities ranging from $100 to $300 billion. The
school systems operate under their separate pension program – CalSTRS.
The Los Angeles Unified School System estimate for unfunded retiree
benefits comes in at about $10 billion. That is one school system, be it
the largest, in one state. Estimates show that the LAUSD will soon
carve out 30% of its budget for combined retiree health and pension
benefits.
California may be the worst example, but not the only example of
deplorable financial planning by governmental entities. The original
justification for rich benefits for public employees centered on lower
salaries, but that no longer rings true. A recent analysis by the U.S.
Bureau of Economics shows that federal employees receive compensation
that is double the average of the private sector. Other studies have
shown state and government employees to be receiving like levels of
compensation.
The genesis of this pending disaster comes from the right of public
employees to unionize. This was not always so. The first opportunity
occurred in 1958 in New York City under Mayor Robert Wagner. President
Kennedy instituted the right for federal employees to unionize in 1962.
Since then the right for public employees to unionize has spread, but is
not universal. States that have more restrictive laws have blocked
public employee unions and thus have not suffered the consequences.
In states like California, the public employee unions fund huge
political campaigns. To most observers, the unions have a stranglehold
on the state legislature, Los Angeles and San Francisco city
governments, and most if not all of the school districts in the state.
When the employees control the employers, the results are uncontrollable
obligations.
A recent report stated that children born today will live an average
life span of 100 years. With public employees retiring at 50 or 55 years
of age, it doesn’t take a deep thinker to extrapolate that these
retirement benefit programs are unsustainable.
Private sector employees now receive less annual income than their
public counterparts. Private sector employees will have to work well
into their seventies to pay for these public sector employees’
retirement benefits which far exceed what the private sector offers. The
public will, little by little, become aware of this upside-down
arrangement. Heroes like Keith Richman are sacrificing to make the
public aware of this coming debacle. Our elected officials need to heed
his warnings.
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